Claims about predictions
What are the prediction arguments?
Scientists retracted claim that sea levels are rising
Tags: scientists, sea level, retracted claim, rising
No warming since at least 1995, no melting glaciers and now no rising sea levels.
Another global warming myth comes crashing down. No warming since at least 1995, no melting glaciers and now no rising sea levels. Basically this leaves the warmers with no credibility, along with the U.S. media, which is largely ignoring this massive scandal.
http://jammiewearingfool.blogspot.com/2010/02/now-you-can-forget-about-those-rising.html
The Siddall 2009 paper was retracted because its predicted sea level rise was too low
http://www.skepticalscience.com/Scientists-retracted-claim-rising-sea-levels.htm
Royal Society embraces skepticism
Tags: Royal Society, skepticism
The Royal Society still strongly state that human activity is the dominant cause of global warming
http://www.skepticalscience.com/royal-society-climate-change-uncertainty.htm
The science on climate change is no longer certain, the Society now says.
The UK today has made it official. With the release of its revised guide to climate change by the Royal Society, the nation’s preeminent scientific organization, the UK now formally joins the ranks of the denier nations. The science on climate change is no longer certain, the Society now says.
http://www.thegwpf.org/opinion-pros-a-cons/1621-royal-society-science-un-settled-debate-re-opened.html
Hansen's 1988 prediction was wrong
Tags: James Hansen, predict
Ground-based temperatures from the IPCC show a rise of 0.11°C, or more than four times less than Hansen predicted.
On June 23, 1988, NASA scientist James Hansen testified before the House of Representatives that there was a strong "cause and effect relationship" between observed temperatures and human emissions into the atmosphere. At that time, Hansen also produced a model of the future behavior of the globe’s temperature, which he had turned into a video movie that was heavily shopped in Congress. That model predicted that global temperature between 1988 and 1997 would rise by 0.45°C (Figure 1). Ground-based temperatures from the IPCC show a rise of 0.11°C, or more than four times less than Hansen predicted. The forecast made in 1988 was an astounding failure, and IPCC’s 1990 statement about the realistic nature of these projections was simply wrong.
http://www.cato.org/testimony/ct-pm072998.html
Jim Hansen had several possible scenarios; his mid-level scenario B was right
http://www.skepticalscience.com/Hansen-1988-prediction.htm
Scientists can't even predict weather
Tags: weather, scientists, predict
Since modern computer models cannot with any certainty predict the weather two weeks from now, how can we rely upon computer models to predict what the Earth's climate might be like a hundred years from now?
They can't! Yet people like Al "Carbon-Credit" Gore want you to believe that these models can predict the future. I bet I can do at least as well with a crystal ball
Tags: Al Gore, models, carbon credit
http://www.kowabunga.org/2007/06/global_warming_natural_causes_2.html
Weather and climate are different; climate predictions do not need weather detail
http://www.skepticalscience.com/weather-forecasts-vs-climate-models-predictions.htm
Satellite error inflated Great Lakes temperatures
Tags: error, Great Lakes, satellite data
Global warming data apparently cooked by U.S. government-funded body shows astounding temperature fraud with increases averaging 10 to 15 degrees Fahrenheit.
Global warming data apparently cooked by U.S. government-funded body shows astounding temperature fraud with increases averaging 10 to 15 degrees Fahrenheit. The tax-payer funded National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has become mired in fresh global warming data scandal involving numbers for the Great Lakes region that substantially ramp up averages.
http://www.climatechangedispatch.com//climate-reports/7479-us-government-in-massive-new-global-warming-scandal-noaa-disgraced
Temperature errors in the Great Lakes region are not used in any global temperature records.
http://www.skepticalscience.com/Great-Lakes-satellite-temperature.htm
Trenberth can't account for the lack of warming
Tags: Kevin Trenberth
in one e-mail, a top "warmist" researcher admits it’s a "travesty" that "we can’t account for the lack of warming at the moment."
in one e-mail, a top "warmist" researcher admits it’s a "travesty" that "we can’t account for the lack of warming at the moment." As it happens, the writer of that October 2009 e-mail—Kevin Trenberth, a lead author of the warmist bible, the 2007 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report—told Congress two years ago that evidence for manmade warming is "unequivocal." He claimed "the planet is running a ’fever’ and the prognosis is that it is apt to get much worse." But Trenberth’s "lack of warming at the moment" has been going on at least a decade.
http://fumento.com/environment/showme.html
Trenberth is talking about the details of energy flow, not whether global warming is happening.
http://www.skepticalscience.com/Kevin-Trenberth-travesty-cant-account-for-the-lack-of-warming.htm
Climate is chaotic and cannot be predicted
Tags: chaos, climate
Lorenz said that because the climate is a mathematically-chaotic object accurate long-term prediction of the future evolution of the climate is not possible "by any method".
Lorenz (1963), in the landmark paper that founded chaos theory, said that because the climate is a mathematically-chaotic object (a point which the UN's climate panel admits), accurate long-term prediction of the future evolution of the climate is not possible "by any method". At present, climate forecasts even as little as six weeks ahead can be diametrically the opposite of what actually occurs, even if the forecasts are limited to a small region of the planet.
Tags: Edward Lorenz
http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/scarewatch/dangerous_climate_change_is_coming.html
Weather is chaotic but climate is driven by Earth's energy imbalance, which is more predictable
Tags: chaos, more predictable, weather, energy imbalance, Earth
http://www.skepticalscience.com/chaos-theory-global-warming-can-climate-be-predicted.htm
Al Gore got it wrong
Tags: Al Gore, predict
An Inconvenient Truth was criticised by a high court judge who highlighted 'nine scientific errors'.
For example, Gore claimed two graphs plotting C02 and temperature showed 'an exact fit'. The judge said 'the two graphs do not establish what Mr Gore asserts'. Gore said the disappearance of snow on Mt Kilimanjaro was attributable to humans. The judge said that could not be established.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2007/oct/11/climatechange
Al Gore book is quite accurate, and far more accurate than contrarian books
http://www.skepticalscience.com/al-gore-inconvenient-truth-errors.htm
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